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Betting firm puts strong odds on iPhone

updated 10:55 am EDT, Mon June 25, 2007

BetUS Bets on iPhone

Online gambling firm BetUS has calculated some of the odds for the iPhone's success, the company revealed today. Giving the same attention to the device that it normally would to sports, the betting house has calculated several factors that could determine its success or failure. Certain outcomes are already fairly likely, BetUS says. Stock value is 1:2 likely to spike by 10 percent or more the next trading day. Odds are also 5:6 that the phone will sell 12 million units in 2008; these chances also carry over to the iPhone's sales in the first month, which BetUS claims are equally likely (5:6) to climb over or dip under 1.2 million units in July.

Certain spectacles that are commonly associated with high-profile launches are also taken into account with less favorable odds, such as reports of camping in line (3:1), trampling or other violence during the launch (20:1), and prices tripling to $1,500 or more on auction sites such as eBay (2:1).

Odds have also been given for failures, however. The company points out that while any one malfunction or defect is expected to be rare, the feature set makes breakdowns a possibility.

"This phone has everything but the kitchen sink," company spokesman Reed Richards claims. "The chances for a malfunction are likely."

The most probable example of a failure would be sub-optimal battery life with 10:1 odds, according to the company. Other pitfalls are said to include a mass recall of the initial batch (30:1) and relatively unlikely problems such as iPod nano-like screen cracking and outright "spontaneous combustions," both of which are rated at 150:1.

 
Previous Comments

These sites...

06/25, 11:16am reply

Speaking as someone living in the UK where a lot of sites like this exist, they seem to have an uncanny ability to get it right. I think this is a definite plus for the iPhone and Apple in general.

http://www.joyofapple.com/os-x/new-features-in-os-x-leopard-server

Guest

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Finally!

06/25, 12:05pm reply

An analyst who doesn't have a 'side' or filled with the usual "Apple-is-God-and-can-do-no-wrong!" garbage. And you know why they have credibility over all others? Because they're putting their money where their mouth is, so to speak.

testudo

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re; finally!

06/25, 12:11pm reply

LOL!!! That is so true!! f*** analysts... i'm gonna start trusting betting firms!

eldarkus

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betting firms...

06/25, 01:39pm reply

...are only in it for themselves, with nothing to gain unless they are right. unlike some analysts who are professionally disingenuous, in an effort to make the stock move.

could be the most accurate analysis we've ever seen.

rtbarry

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Joined: Aug 2001

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IF true

06/25, 02:44pm reply

Yeah, its all nice IF true. But how could not one trust someone who's a "high-placed source with access to AT&T."

Then again, if its such a great plan, why in the world are they keeping quiet with it? Announcing it as early as possible would be the best way to ensure mass hysteria.

testudo

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I think...

06/26, 08:02am reply

I think this friday after market close, many a stockholder and apple employee will be holding their breath till market open on monday.

Fast iBook

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Euro 2008 football

11/21, 09:03pm reply

You can find the best special betting offers on Betting Choice. Don't miss Euro 2008 the biggest football game of the year! You can start winning now!
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oliviaharis
Euro 2008 football betting odds and bonus offer. Euro 2008 football game.

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