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Android to grow faster than iPhone in 2009?

updated 09:25 am EDT, Mon May 11, 2009

Android to Grow 900pc

The number of phones shipped using Google's Android platform is set to grow much faster than the iPhone this year, estimates from Strategy Analytics maintain today. Devices like the T-Mobile G1 have just a small fraction of shipments today but are expected to grow 900 percent in 2009 as multiple extra smartphones launch and more carriers come onboard. Apple's device will reportedly grow second-quickest but at a much smaller 79 percent growth rate to 23.8 million iPhones per year, potentially leading to a shift in favor of Android in the near future.

"Android is now in a good position to become a top-tier player in smartphones over the next two to three years," Strategy Analytics director Neil Mawston says.

The past month has seen the expansion of Android devices, including the formal launch of the HTC Magic as well as the first official word of the Samsung i7500. Google's mobile OS is also no longer a near-exclusive for T-Mobile and is now available on Vodafone in Europe, with a Canadian release coming in less than a month. Motorola and Sony Ericsson are likewise poised to add Android phones of their own in coming months.

The research firm adds that the low cost of licensing Android and its partly open-source foundations will help give the software a better footprint as it allows for lower-priced devices and for both manufacturers and carriers to write their own interface elements. The change has let China Mobile produce its own operating system with specific requirements.

Apple has a large lead but has been helped by shipping phones since 2007. It has also been hindered by a relatively high minimum price and by a repeated refusal to allow outside control of the operating system, which has led to a stalled China deal as China Mobile continues to pressure Apple for involvement in app sales.



By Electronista Staff
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Comments

  1. ibugv4

    Fresh-Faced Recruit

    Joined: Jun 2003

    +1

    Android 1.5

    The 1.5 release of the Android OS included such things as:

    onscreen keyboard with tactile feedback (phone vibrates)
    Predictive text and auto correction

    A CAMCORDER that uploads right to YouTube

    Better eye candy in how screens transition (sliding, fading)

    Auto rotate like an iPhone

    Still no multitouch but it's far, far better than iPhone 2.0's release. Not to mention all the keyboard options can be enabled/disables -- predictive text, auto correction, audio/tactile feedback to key press...

    and it could copy and paste since v1.0 to boot.

    I totally see these giving Apple a run for their money.

  1. ff11

    Fresh-Faced Recruit

    Joined: Apr 2004

    +7

    Here we go w/ % again

    Sell 10 phones in 2008 and 90 in 2009 and you have 900% growth.

    Sell a million phones in 2008 and 1.79 million in 2009 and you have 79% growth.

  1. nebby

    Fresh-Faced Recruit

    Joined: Sep 2008

    +8

    heart my G1

    My ISP was out for a week recently, but with Tetherbot I was able to get my workstation online with Safari and accomplish urgent work items. If I had an iPhone, would have had to spend an hour or so jailbreaking, then re-install to start over. Took about 15 minutes to get the tethering working, and now can be online in 2 minutes anytime, anyplace--without cracking the OS. Thanks Google!

  1. sgirard

    Fresh-Faced Recruit

    Joined: Aug 2005

    +3

    Windows Mobile

    Android competes more directly with Windows Mobile than the iPhone. Ever wonder why Apple is picky with it's app approval process? They don't want junk apps that burn battery and crash the OS. Android will have to deal with these problems while trying to keep the OS running on lots of different hardware. Sounds a lot like Windows Mobile to me.

  1. Salty

    Professional Poster

    Joined: Jul 2005

    +5

    Cool

    Honestly I'm fine with Android gaining market share. That said I think this takes into account current trends, I think Apple may get very competitive in the phone space this year. I would not be surprised to see a basic model for the low end crowd and increased cool features in the high end. the iPhone 3G was like Jaguar for OS X, the first real release of the phone that had just about everything anyone could want (ok no copy and paste but they're adding that to it) I think version 3 is where they're gonna start adding some really cool new stuff, and perhaps even add another line.

    Still though I'm pretty cool with Google gaining a bigger foot hold in the mobile space, fact is the phone is the new personal computer, and once companies start coming out with docking stations to connect the devices with larger screens and higher end processors (Think storing your home folder on your iPhone) we'll see some really cool stuff from both Google and Apple. And Microsoft will still be stuck trying to get Windows 9 out the door three years late.

  1. testudo

    Forum Regular

    Joined: Aug 2001

    -4

    Re: windows mobile

    They don't want junk apps that burn battery and crash the OS.

    I see someone's been drinking the iPhone kool-aid. Although you forgot to mention Apple also wants to make sure one app doesn't take down ATT's entire cell infrastructure (something they said at the beginning when they said "No 3rd-party apps"). Although I don't recall ever hearing of any app on any phone taking down a cell network.

    Since the iPhone OS was built upon OS X, I would think it would be more crash-proof than crash friendly.

    And i thought they were approving apps to make sure the iPhone was safe for kids and not become 'the' p*** device of the 21st century.

  1. UberFu

    Fresh-Faced Recruit

    Joined: Oct 2002

    +1

    yeah well....

    first - this story is pointless until it actually happens. You all are arguing over something that may or may not potentially happen. Wasted energy.

    2nd - anything hitting the market now or that has recently hit the market is competing with what Apple put out over 10 months ago (read as last year). Apple has mentioned a few things being done is it's v3.0 software - but I'm certain (in usual Apple style) that they will announce a few more bells and whistles at the release in addition to folks discovering stuff that is not announced as it has happened I don;t know how many hundreds of times over the years.

    So let's hear about this non-sense when Android actually does over-take the iPhone. When Android offers features way above and beyond anything that the iPhone can compete with. And I'd even settle for Google outing stuff before Apple and not rideing their tailcoats like every other company in the industry.

  1. hayesk

    Professional Poster

    Joined: Sep 1999

    +4

    Better?

    "onscreen keyboard with tactile feedback (phone vibrates)"
    - the entire phone vibrates? I wouldn't call that useful tactile feedback. Now if they could invent a screen that feels like a click when you press certain parts of it, then I'd be impressed.

    "Predictive text and auto correction"
    - already in iPhone

    "A CAMCORDER that uploads right to YouTube"
    - I'm not interested. There are far better camcorders on the market that have YouTube upload capability. Besides, if I took videos, I'd want to edit them first.

    "Better eye candy in how screens transition (sliding, fading)"
    - How is it better? Apple already has good screen transitions.

    "Auto rotate like an iPhone"
    - So why it this better?

    "Still no multitouch but it's far, far better than iPhone 2.0's release?"
    - Why?

    "Not to mention all the keyboard options can be enabled/disables -- predictive text, auto correction, audio/tactile feedback to key press."
    - As mentioned above, none of that is better.

    "and it could copy and paste since v1.0 to boot."
    - never really wanted it, but since iPhone 3 will have that, you haven't really explained how Android is or will be better.

  1. sgirard

    Fresh-Faced Recruit

    Joined: Aug 2005

    +4

    Kool-Aid

    I see someone's been drinking the iPhone kool-aid.

    Yumm. Kool-Aid.

    So... Do you really think Verizon or AT&T will certify an Android device on their network in 2009? 2010?

    Which one and what year?
    (I don't think it's gonna happen.)

  1. Constable Odo

    Fresh-Faced Recruit

    Joined: Aug 2007

    +1

    This wouldn't be unusual

    for a company that creates an OS for dozens of hardware manufacturers. It would sell in all markets, all carriers at a wide range of prices and models. Going up against one iphone that sells on one carrier with basically one model for each year.

    The iPhone sells with such a limited subscriber base it's a wonder Apple can sell as many as it does. I don't think the iPhone will ever sell in the numbers of any other smartphone selling company if it remains as a device sold on only one network.

    Other than that, Android is just another OS that has to be paired to some really good hardware. Developers will have to start making apps and games for it. It's going to have competition from WinMo and WebOS. IT doesn't want it because it's not a secure OS as of yet. Android has a long way to go no matter how great a potential it has. I'm waiting to see if Motorola can do anything useful with it.

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