Android catches up to iPad, iPhone in developer interest

updated 12:00 pm EST, Tue January 25, 2011

IDC shows developers liking Android as much as iOS


IDC in a new study discovered that Android tablets, not just phones, were catching up to iPads and iPhones in developer interest. Although interest in writing for the iPad was still up, climbing to 87 percent, Android tablet interest shot up from just 62 percent last September to 74 percent this month. Android phones also saw their demand go up to 87 percent, although the iPhone moved ahead again and kept the attention of 92 percent of developers.

Most other platforms trailed well behind, but key introductions gave Microsoft and RIM jumps in demand. The BlackBerry PlayBook's time at CES may have kindled interest as developer focus grew from just 16 percent to 28 percent in only three months. Windows Phone 7 helped Microsoft reverse years of sagging interest; the new platform left 38 percent of developers interested, up eight points.

Unusually, it wasn't Android 3.0 that drove interest. About 57 percent of those hoping to support Android tablets cited the tendency towards cheap designs. Only 33 percent valued the tablet-optimized OS update, and only 41 percent thought hardware features mattered. Nearly half, 49 percent, were willing to write for Android tablets on the hope that the OS would be less fragmented on larger screens than it has been on phones.

TV platforms, however, saw their app support drop. Both saw Apple TV and Google TV dropped 10 points in developer interest, to 30 and 33 percent each. Neither currently supports third-party apps, but the promise of a TV-optimized Android Market early this year wasn't enough to push developers.

The study further explored what developers would want out of a next-generation iPad. Most, 62 percent, pointed to the camera as the singularly most important feature wish, but a true USB port was tied with a Retina Display for demand at about 52 percent. About 46 percent wanted a new processor, but only 26 percent cared for different sizes despite Android tablet manufacturers trying to use this as a selling point.














By Electronista Staff

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Previous Comments

  1. lochias

    Fresh-Faced Recruit

    Joined: Aug 2009

    +2

    Bad headline

    Interesting story, but the headline contradicts what it says.

    The story says Android tablet interest is catching up to iPad, 74% v. 87
    and phone interest catching up to iPhone, 87 to 92.

    Impressive!

    But the headline says
    Android catches up to iPad, iPhone in developer interest

    which is, as Mark Twain would say, a stretcher, even if not by much.


  1. Gazoobee

    Fresh-Faced Recruit

    Joined: Feb 2009

    +5

    irrelevant?

    Interesting article and great metrics, but I think it misses a rather big point. When platforms are just starting and devices are just being introduced, interest is (of course) going to be quite high, but this doesn't necessarily mean anything about the relative strengths of the platforms in question. Honeycomb tablets are definitely the "latest thing," as is the iPad, so obviously lots of developers are interested.

    The only numbers that can really be trusted are those that apply to devices and platforms that have been *around* a while (I would argue at least a few years is necessary). This "developer interest" is not the same thing as measuring the difference in developer interest between Windows and Mac for example. So it's far too soon to know the "true interest" of the developers in the way the article suggests we can.

    "Interest" in a nascent device or platform is always going to be a gamble. "Interest" in this sense is going to be *emotional* interest and indicative of nothing more than that. These numbers are evidence of the *hopes* of developers and where they are placing their *bets*.

    So all the detail provided here is basically irrelevant and none of it really means anything in regards which platform is better or which is "going to win."


  1. reader

    Fresh-Faced Recruit

    Joined: Jan 2011

    +4

    More Accurate Headline Offered

    The article failed to note that the survey was taken not of developers in general, but only of Appcelerator developers, i.e. developers who develop for Android. A more accurate headline would have read "Android Developers less interested in writing for Android Tablet than for iPad".


  1. dliup

    Fresh-Faced Recruit

    Joined: Jan 2006

    +2

    interest

    I am interested in smacking these developers with interest in vaporware. Doesn't mean I am going to do it. ;)


  1. marthill

    Fresh-Faced Recruit

    Joined: Jun 2007

    +1

    Nope, Android is not necessarily catching up

    These survey results are not at all representative of iOS developers as a whole as the vast majority use Apple's Xcode to write iOS apps, not the software sold by the company that ran this survey.

    Appcelerator's survey subjects are part of a small minority of developers who are using the Appcelerator Titanium cross-platform development environment which is used in 4,000 iOS apps, which amounts to only 1-2% of the 300,000 apps in the App Store. Appcelerator not that long ago was banned from the iOS App store as were other cross-platform environments so what is surprising is that these particular devs were not far more negative towards Apple.

    A previous study a few months back by AppStore HQ of every published iPhone, iPad and Android developer currently in the Apple App Store or Android Market demonstrated that there is only a tiny percentage of developers engaged writing software for both Android and iOS:

    iOS developers = 43,185
    Android developers = 10,199
    iOS & Android devs = 1,412

    As only 3% of iOS developers targeted both iOS and Android, it is quite inappropriate to assume that these cross-platform Appcelerator customers represent the views of the much larger iOS development community.

    Considering a vastly larger percentage of iOS developers use Apple's Xcode IDE and do not develop cross-platform, Appcelerator's results are by no means definitive of the sentiments of mobile developers and verge on useless when attempting to extrapolate the results to the wider market.

    By buying this software these developers were already planning on developing cross-platform and thus represent a completely biased sample which cannot be extrapolated to the rest of the iOS dev community.

    Other data strongly suggests the opposite of what Appcelerator reports - that iOS continues to garner far more dev interest than Android because that is where the money is. For example, Larva Labs found that "Overall we estimate that $6,000,000 has been paid out to developers for games, and $15,000,000 has been paid out on apps. That is a total of $21,000,000, nearly 1/50th the amount paid out to devs on iPhone. This really indicates how much of a cottage industry the paid Android Market remains, with insufficient sales numbers to warrant full-time labor for paid content."

    Then there is AppBrain's findings that over 45,000 of the 100,000 apps in the Android Marketplace are spam apps.

    As such, these survey results are not very useful at all.

    -Mart


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