updated 11:10 am EST, Mon January 23, 2012
Analysis claims Android may take top dev spot
Ovum on Monday predicted based on a developer survey that Android would become more important to developers than iOS by the start of 2013. While Apple would still be the other major platform creator to write for, the research firm saw the momentum in hardware leading to Google taking the edge. Ovum didn't give ratios for how much of a lead it expected.
BlackBerry and Windows Phone development were also seeing resurgences, it said, although they would still sit on the periphery.
The claim does have some basis in trends, as Android has caught up in pace after years of trailing behind, at least temporarily. Google still has numerous obstacles to overcome among developers, however, the biases of the store and users towards free apps. Despite a larger device market share, Android apps make a sixth the revenue of iOS apps and have more troubles with discoverability and piracy.
Although not a complete picture, Flurry data suggests many more iOS app starts even at the end of 2011. If so, Apple could see its iOS development grow faster than a stepped up Android process.